Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-24 0.032012 0.035107 0.038248 0.041668 0.045282 0.048979 0.053042
2025-08-31 0.027974 0.032592 0.037456 0.042934 0.048909 0.055202 0.062308
2025-09-07 0.024705 0.030406 0.036612 0.043807 0.051864 0.060552 0.070575
2025-09-14 0.021944 0.028425 0.035694 0.044344 0.054251 0.065147 0.077940
2025-09-21 0.019493 0.026518 0.034623 0.044497 0.056039 0.068954 0.084349
2025-09-28 0.018065 0.025652 0.034620 0.045764 0.059009 0.074038 0.092167
2025-10-05 0.015913 0.023700 0.033154 0.045153 0.059666 0.076370 0.096767
2025-10-12 0.014378 0.022382 0.032340 0.045218 0.061035 0.079464 0.102203
2025-10-19 0.013275 0.021524 0.032014 0.045809 0.062979 0.083199 0.108366
2025-10-26 0.012456 0.020969 0.032016 0.046761 0.065329 0.087397 0.115074
2025-11-02 0.010675 0.018954 0.030004 0.045057 0.064316 0.087484 0.116832
2025-11-09 0.009569 0.017800 0.029051 0.044644 0.064852 0.089406 0.120755
2025-11-16 0.008514 0.016656 0.028076 0.044187 0.065346 0.091313 0.124734
2025-11-23 0.008136 0.016500 0.028447 0.045509 0.068121 0.096060 0.132213
2025-11-30 0.007659 0.016153 0.028522 0.046419 0.070361 0.100151 0.138911
2025-12-07 0.007119 0.015660 0.028357 0.046978 0.072132 0.103654 0.144895
2025-12-14 0.006515 0.015011 0.027925 0.047138 0.073358 0.106461 0.150022
2025-12-21 0.006268 0.014937 0.028327 0.048453 0.076115 0.111219 0.157596
2025-12-28 0.005550 0.013990 0.027373 0.047819 0.076241 0.112603 0.160940
2026-01-04 0.005064 0.013406 0.026933 0.047886 0.077289 0.115156 0.165751
2026-01-11 0.004740 0.013088 0.026885 0.048500 0.079068 0.118649 0.171751
2026-01-18 0.004519 0.012943 0.027097 0.049487 0.081357 0.122811 0.178616
2026-01-25 0.003769 0.011691 0.025473 0.047720 0.079811 0.121940 0.179048